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Can you break a promise? The government has just bet the house on it

ANALYSIS: When's the best time to break an election promise?

The government will be hoping it's when your political opponent is in a shambles and the national mood has changed significantly since a crushing election loss many blamed on the very reforms Labor is attempting once again.

Under this year's budget, the capital gains tax (CGT) discount and negative gearing have been wound back, ending longstanding and generous tax breaks that have been in place since 1999 and 1987, respectively.

WHAT'S IN IT FOR YOU? The winners and losers from the federal budget

PROPERTY TAX CHANGES: Chalmers takes a razor blade to negative gearing and CGT discount

Treasurer Jim Chalmers speaks with the media on arrival to Australian Parliament House ahead of handing down the 2026 budget on May 12, 2026 in Canberra, Australia.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese had refused to reform the two generous and popular benefits, repeatedly telling reporters during last year's election campaign that he would not tinker with the tax settings.

So what's changed?

Nine national affairs editor Andrew Probyn said this year's budget may have been the best time for Labor to break a key promise. 

"There are now many more younger voters than older voters and it's younger Australians who are finding it horribly hard to get into the housing market," he said.

"Politically, the Coalition is a diminished force.

"Perhaps there's never been a better time to break a rolled gold promise and get with it."

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has delivered on anticipated bold reforms in the face of rising gross debt that is forecast to reach $1 trillion in the next financial year and inflation that could reach 7 per cent by December due to the war in Iran.

"This budget includes the most significant tax reform package in more than a quarter of a century," he declared in his speech to parliament.

RELIEF FOR STRUGGLING SECTOR: Tax refunds coming for businesses who report losses

NIGHTMARE ON THE HORIZON? The budget forecast no one wants to see

Treasurer Jim Chalmers holds a copy of the 2026 budget while speaking with the media at Australian Parliament House on May 12, 2026 in Canberra, Australia.

The government will spend about $3.6 billion over two years to reform the CGT discount and negative gearing, which pales in comparison to the tens of billions the tax benefits have cost the budget over the years.

Some would say Albanese's previous vows not to tinker with negative gearing or CGT were smart, particularly since Labor under Bill Shorten lost the 2016 and 2019 elections after proposing changes to the CGT discount and negative gearing.

The risk the government has taken in making these changes is what has made this year's budget ambitious, added Probyn.

"This is an ambitious budget because it's attempting some tricky tax reform haunted by the ghost of Bill Shorten," he said.

The housing crisis, which sent the median house price soaring past $1 million, has prompted some calls to reconsider the property tax benefits, and ultimately spurred the government into a similar gamble as its stage 3 tax cuts backflip.

TAX CUT FOR WORKERS: 13 million Aussies to get $250 bonus

By breaking an election promise, Albanese and Chalmers are promising to deliver changes they believe will benefit more people – roughly 75,000 of them getting to buy their first home – than they harm.

"Tonight, we choose the hard road of reform, not the path of least resistance, by responding to the pressures Australians confront today and fulfilling our obligations and responsibilities to the generations to come," Chalmers said.

Nine's chief political reporter Charles Croucher, however, warned the decision would take a long time to bear fruit for the government.

"These changes we've spoken about won't make a lot of money in the next two or three years, but it will change the way Australia looks at taxes, approaches wealth, particularly things like trusts and those big property portfolios," he said.

"He is trying to lay down a legacy, but he won't see the fruits of that legacy for quite some time."

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Harris signals PLP readiness for possible snap election

By Staff reporter Former Prime Minister and leader of the People’s Labour Party (PLP), Dr. Timothy Harris, declared that his party is fully prepared for a possible snap general election, using a Labour Day platform on Monday to rally supporters and urge them to be ready. Harris repeatedly emphasised election readiness to his audience, suggesting that the current […]

Costly, controversial and unresolved: Nevis struggles with animal overpopulation

Premier Mark Brantley has acknowledged that Nevis continues to face a complex and ongoing challenge in managing the island’s growing populations of monkeys, donkeys, and stray livestock, describing the issue as one that requires practical solutions, public cooperation, and careful balance. Speaking during his recent press conference, Brantley outlined the scale of the problem and […]

Chalmers takes a razor blade to negative gearing and CGT discount

Sweeping reforms are coming for two of Australia's most controversial tax structures: negative gearing and the capital gains tax (CGT) discount.

As largely expected, the 2026 Federal Budget has delivered a twin tax blow to landlords and property investors in a bid to make it easier for Australians to buy their own homes.

The federal government has spruiked the future benefits of the negative gearing and CGT discount changes as equivalent to reversing about a decade of decline in home ownership in Australia.

WHAT'S IN IT FOR YOU? The winners and losers from the federal budget

Aerial photo of houses.

TAX CUT FOR WORKERS: 13 million Aussies to get $250 bonus

But, if you're an investor in newly-built homes or among the lucky landlords who bought a rental property before tonight, you have escaped the brunt of the tax pain.

Negative gearing scrapped for future investors

Negative gearing is on Treasurer Jim Chalmers' chopping block this budget, with the government winding back the friendly tax concession handed to property investors who lose more money than they generate on a property.

Until now, any homeowner was able to deduct a net loss from a residential investment property from their overall income and lower their total taxable income, and therefore reducing their yearly tax bill.

From July 1, 2027, negative gearing will be limited only to new builds. All existing properties bought after 7.30pm tonight, May 12, will not be eligible for the tax concession.

However, in a win for current investment property owners, the tax change is not going to applied retrospectively.

Existing investments will be shielded from the change and negative gearing will remain in place.

That means if you signed a contract to buy a home before 7.30pm, you have dodged the prospective negative gearing changes.

Investments supporting government housing programs, for example, through the provision of affordable housing, will also be exempt from the reform.

Investors who buy established housing after tonight will still be able to deduct losses against other residential property income, including rental income or other capital gains, and will be able to carry forward unused losses to future years.

NIGHTMARE ON THE HORIZON? The budget forecast no one wants to see

Around 1.1 million Australians had negatively geared properties in 2022-23, according to Treasury tax analysis.

Just 17 per cent of investor loans were for new builds in 2025.

Chalmers said the tax changes will "level the playing field" for first homebuyers and help around 75,000 Australians achieve their dream of home ownership.

Negative gearing has been a tense political flashpoint for years.

Greens and crossbenchers have long called on the government to wind back negative gearing and CGT discounts, criticising them both as unfair tax discounts which only drive up the price of homes and rent.

Real estate analysts, however, previously warned the changes to negative gearing could be catastrophic for renters.

It has been predicted that landlords could hike rent by up to 30 per cent in response to the changes.

However the government's own modelling suggests that the reforms will have a small impact on rents, with an expected increase of just $2 per week for households paying the median rent.

A for lease sign.

RELIEF FOR STRUGGLING SECTOR: Tax refunds coming for businesses who report losses

Chalmers takes an axe to CGT

The equally-contentious 50 per cent capital gains tax (CGT) discount will be replaced by a new type of discount, based solely on inflation, only for investors in existing properties.

The CGT discount is a $23 billion tax break which allows investors to sell an asset they've owned for at least a year and to only be taxed on half of the profit.

Investors will pay tax on their real capital gain when they sell a property from July 1, 2027.

Essentially, this means investors with lower gains will pay less tax, while anyone with gains "well above inflation" will pay more tax, according to budget papers.

Again, investors in new builds can keep enjoying the 50 per cent CGT tax discount, or chose the inflation-based discount.

There will be a minimum 30 per cent tax rate on capital gains from July next year too.

The CGT discount has been blamed for driving up house prices and making home ownership even more difficult for renters and younger Australians.

A 2026 report by Oxfam Australia claimed that just 24,000 of Australia's millionaires accounted for almost half the beneficiaries of the CGT discount.

The discount cost the government $21.8 billion in 2025-26, according to the Tax Expenditures and Insights Statement.

Both tax overhauls are forecast to save the federal government an estimated $1.35 billion by 2028-29 and $2.28 billion by 2029-30.

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‘Very decomposed’ body found in manhunt for triple killer to undergo forensic testing

Warning: This article contains the name and image of Indigenous people who have died.

The "very decomposed" body found in the search for Julian Ingram is set to undergo testing to confirm it is the accused triple killer.

Police said that the remains have been removed from a remote NSW national park where they were found yesterday and will undergo post-mortem testing on Friday in Newcastle, before confirming it is Ingram. 

National Parks and Wildlife staff made the discovery in Central West NSW, four months after Ingram allegedly murdered his heavily pregnant ex-partner Sophie Quinn, 25, her friend John Harris, 32, and aunt Nerida Quinn, 50, in Lake Cargelligo.

READ MORE: Man charged over car crash in suburban Perth that left two girls under four dead

Assistant Commissioner Andrew Holland also said that the vehicle and a firearm located within it are also set to be forensically tested. Julian Ingram

Assistant Commissioner Andrew Holland said a vehicle and a firearm were also set to be forensically tested.

"There was a firearm located next to the deceased body, which was a large calibre firearm and a shotgun located on the front passenger seat of the vehicle," he said.

"It would appear that the deceased was dressed in the same clothing he was wearing on the day of the incident, assuming that it was Julian Ingram.

"The injuries appear self-inflicted with a firearm."

The body was found next to the white Ford Ranger Ingram was last seen fleeing the town in, and his licence was inside the vehicle.

When asked if Ingram potentially received help from somebody in the community, Holland said, "It does not appear to be the case". 

The update from police comes as new aerial footage revealed the bushland location where a white ute was found in relation to the manhunt for the accused triple killer.

READ MORE: Aussies from virus-stricken cruise ship to be sent to COVID-era quarantine centre

Aerial footage of a white ute discovered in a regional NSW national park in relation to the manhunt for triple killer Julian Ingram.

Lake Cargelligo community reacts to the grim discovery

Loved ones were rocked by the discovery but said they could finally grieve.

Assistant Commissioner Andrew Holland yesterday said the discovery was a relief for officers who'd been involved in a major manhunt for the accused killer, but particularly for the affected families.

"For the last four months, the strike forces involved in … the manhunt for Julian Ingram, have not given up," he said. 

"There's been hundreds of police involved. 

"Obviously, it's a relief for them to find this body – again, yet to be confirmed as Julian Ingram – but the main thing is, it brings closure to this investigation, it brings closure to the people of Lake Cargelligo and gives some solace to the town so they can relax."

While police had not officially confirmed the body was Ingram, they do believe it is him. The corpse was found in his clothes next to the white Ford Ranger he was last seen fleeing the town in, and his license was inside the vehicle.

READ MORE: Tax hikes, spending cuts: What we know so far

Police said the 37-year-old was last seen driving a dual cab Ford Ranger utility with the NSW registration DM-07-GZ.

Holland said the body was found in a "very decomposed" state but didn't give a specific estimate for when the man may have died, saying only it "appears to have been there for some time".

He did not confirm whether the weapon was the same alleged to have been used in the shooting or whether the man was believed to have died by suicide.

Police said NPWS workers carrying out feral animal eradication found the vehicle about 3.40pm yesterday in Round Hill Nature Reserve, roughly 100 kilometres north-east of Lake Cargelligo.

Ingram, 37, had been on the run since the January 22 shooting.

READ MORE: Banks were quick to pass on rate hikes – just not for one group

Lake Cargelligo shootings

He allegedly killed his pregnant former partner, Sophie Quinn, and her friend John Harris, then moving on to Sophie's Auntie Nerida, killing her and shooting Kaleb Macqueen, 19, the only victim to survive.

"I heard boom, boom. I seen her – she was holding her neck, and then he was laughing," Macqueen told 9News in January.

Sophie's mother, Cathy Quinn, called Ingram "gutless".

"We still grieving but justice will be served," she told 9News.

READ MORE: Minister's 'tone-deaf' childcare comment draws criticism

John Harris was shot dead alongside Sophie Quinn.

Her sister, Tegan, said it was "about time they found him".

"We can grieve but now it feels so real and it's only has hit me now," she said.

The shooting devastated the tiny town and rattled the entire state.

Last month, police said Ingram was seen on the side of a road two days after the alleged murders.

Sophie's aunt Nerida was also shot dead.

In March, police offered a $250,000 reward for information leading to his arrest.

The coroner will now be charged with confirming how the man died and when.

If the body is confirmed to be Ingram, everything leading up to the killing will also be investigated, including why the repeated domestic violence offender was out on bail.

Support is available from the National Sexual Assault, Domestic and Family Violence Counselling Service at 1800RESPECT (1800 737 732).

If you or someone you know is in need of support contact Lifeline on 13 11 14 or Beyond Blue. In the event of an emergency dial Triple Zero (000).