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Study: Vaccination Does Not Reduce Risk of Passing Covid to Others

Research reveals fully vaccinated people are just as likely to pass virus on to those they share a home with

Science correspondent
Guardian

People who are fully vaccinated against Covid yet catch the virus are just as infectious to others in their household as infected unvaccinated people, research suggests.

Households are a key setting for the transmission of Covid infections (pdf), with frequent prolonged daily contact with an infected person linked to an increased risk of catching the virus.

However, questions have remained – including the true proportion of household contacts who become infected from an initial case, the duration of their infection, and the impact of vaccination on the risk of transmitting the virus and the chance of catching it.

Now a study has revealed that while vaccination against Covid is crucial to preventing severe disease and death, even fully jabbed individuals catch the virus – and pass it on.

Writing in the Lancet, researchers from a number of institutions including Imperial College London and the UK Health Security Agency (HSA) report how they analysed data from 204 household contacts of 138 people infected with the Delta variant.

Of these contacts, who were recruited within five days of their household member showing symptoms and were tested daily for 14 days, 53 went on to become infected, 31 of whom were fully vaccinated and 15 were unvaccinated.

The results suggest even those who are fully vaccinated have a sizeable risk of becoming infected, with analysis revealing a fully vaccinated contact has a 25% chance of catching the virus from an infected household member while an unvaccinated contact has a 38% chance of becoming infected.

However, the figures do not shed light on the severity of illness, while the team cautions these figures fall within a range of possible values, meaning the exact size of the difference is unclear.

The analysis further suggests that whether an infected individual is themselves fully vaccinated or unvaccinated makes little or no difference to how infectious they are to their household contacts.

The team add that the peak level of virus in infected individuals was the same regardless of whether they were jabbed or not, although these levels dropped off more quickly in the vaccinated people, suggesting they cleared the infection sooner.

“This likely explains why [fully vaccinated] breakthrough cases are as infectious to their contacts as [unvaccinated] cases” said Prof Ajit Lalvani, chair of infectious diseases at Imperial College London and an author of the study.

The team also looked more closely at those who were fully vaccinated.

“What we found, surprisingly, was that already by three months after receipt of the second vaccine dose, the risk of acquiring infection was higher compared to being more recently vaccinated,” said Lalvani.

“This suggests that vaccine-induced protection is already waning by about three months post-secondary,” he added.

Lalvani stressed that vaccination, including boosters, was important, noting that unvaccinated people cannot rely on the immunity of those who are fully jabbed for protection.

Should fully vaccinated individuals become infected, he added, they remain protected against severe disease and death, and tend to have only a mild infection.

However, when asked if the data suggested booster doses should be offered sooner than six months after a second jab, Lalvani said the emphasis should be on encouraging those already eligible to take the extra dose.

Prof Rowland Kao, an epidemiologist at the University of Edinburgh, who was not involved in the work, said the estimates of high rates of transmission among household contacts underscored the need to vaccinate teenagers and give boosters to vulnerable people.

“The vaccinations of younger persons to slow down transmission in the community, and the boosters to directly protect against severe infection and hospitalisation,” he said.

Kao suggested the findings also added weight to calls for the introduction of further measures in the UK to tackle the spread of Covid, adding the move could also mitigate the risks posed by other respiratory infections including flu.

“The result that vaccinated individuals who become infected appear to pose a similar infection risk to others also emphasises the need for continued or improved non-pharmaceutical interventions to further slow down transmission rates and ease hospital burdens over the winter,” he said.

 

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UK May be 1st Nation to Prescribe E-Cigs On Its National Health Service

Man smoking an e-cigarette
E-cigarettes contain nicotine and are not risk-free. ‘The liquid and vapour contain some potentially harmful chemicals also found in cigarette smoke,’ the NHS says. Photograph: Nam Y Huh/AP
Health editor
Guardian

E-cigarettes may soon be prescribed on the NHS to help smokers quit under radical plans by ministers to slash smoking rates in England.

The Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) has published updated guidance that paves the way for medicinally licensed e-cigarette products to be prescribed for tobacco smokers who want to stop smoking and switch to vaping instead.

The move could see England become the first country in the world to prescribe medicinally licensed e-cigarettes. Almost 64,000 people die from smoking every year. About 3.6 million, or 7% of adults in Britain, are thought to use e-cigarettes.

Doctors, medical leaders and health campaigners welcomed the move. “I am convinced this will be a gamechanger,” said Sir Norman Lamb, the former health minister who chaired the Commons science and technology committee’s inquiry into e-cigarettes in 2018. His committee concluded that there would be “significant benefit” to having medicinally licensed e-cigarettes that could be prescribed, he said.

Prof Linda Bauld, the Bruce and John Usher chair in public health at the University of Edinburgh, said it was “excellent news”.

“While there is good evidence that e-cigarettes available as consumer products can help smokers to quit, we also know that up to one in three smokers in the UK has not tried these devices,” she said.

“Smokers have concerns about safety and misperceptions about the relative risks of e-cigarettes compared with tobacco. For some, cost is also perceived as a barrier. The option of having approved devices that could be prescribed would reassure smokers about relative risks and also assist in reaching those least able to afford e-cigarettes.”

E-cigarettes contain nicotine and are not risk-free. “The liquid and vapour contain some potentially harmful chemicals also found in cigarette smoke,” the NHS says – though these chemicals are found at much lower levels in e-cigarettes.

Public health experts have also raised concerns about young people in particular becoming hooked on vaping despite never having smoked. Tobacco companies have turned to creating the devices.

However, expert reviews have concluded that regulated e-cigarettes are less harmful than smoking. A medicinally licensed e-cigarette would have to pass even more rigorous safety checks, the Department of Health and Social Care said.

Manufacturers can now approach the MHRA and submit their products to the same regulatory approvals process as other medicines available on the NHS. If an e-cigarette gets MHRA approval, doctors could then decide on a case-by-case basis whether it would be appropriate to prescribe an e-cigarette to a patient to help them quit smoking.

Dr June Raine, the chief executive of the MHRA, said the evidence was “clear” that e-cigarettes are less harmful to health than smoking tobacco and that e-cigarettes can help people quit smoking for good. “The updated guidance on licensing requirements we have published today is a strong first step towards availability of safe and effective licensed e-cigarette products.”

a person vaping
What are e-cigarettes and are they safe?

The NHS said the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (Nice) would have to give the green light to e-cigarettes before they could be rolled out on the health service. A spokesperson added: “The NHS will not be prescribing e-cigarettes unless Nice recommends them for use.”

Smoking remains the leading preventable cause of premature death. While rates are at record low levels in the UK, there are still about 6.1 million smokers in England. There are also alarming differences in rates across the country, with smoking rates in Blackpool (23.4%) and Kingston upon Hull (22.2%) vastly higher than rates in wealthier areas such as Richmond upon Thames (8%).

E-cigarettes were the most popular aid used by smokers trying to quit in England in 2020. The number of e-cigarette users grew from about 700,000 in 2012 to 3.6 million in 2019, falling to 3.2 million in 2020 before rising again in 2021 to 3.6 million.

Sajid Javid, the health secretary, said: “Opening the door to a licensed e-cigarette prescribed on the NHS has the potential to tackle the stark disparities in smoking rates across the country, helping people stop smoking wherever they live and whatever their background.”

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Biden in 50m Pfizer Order, Anti-Vaxxer Poll, Florida Gov. Sues US Pres., World Stats

PFIZER SAYS BIDEN HAS ORDERED 50M MORE VACCINE DOSES FOR KIDS

Pfizer and BioNTech announced in a press release Thursday that they will be providing the U.S. government with 50 million additional pediatric doses of COVID-19 vaccinations.

According to the companies’ statement, the move is meant to help prepare for vaccination needs for children under the age of 5, should the vaccine eventually be approved for children that young.

Pfizer says that with the inclusion of this order of doses, the U.S. government has secured 600 million Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines since the start of the pandemic.

What’s next: Pfizer has stated that it expects to deliver all the doses by the end of April.

The announcement comes after a Food and Drug Administration (FDA) advisory panel recommended approving the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine for children as young as 5 on Tuesday.

The trial data for those aged 2 to less than 5 and for those aged six months to less than 2 years old is expected to be available late this year or early next year.

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US: ONE PERCENT OF ADULTS WOULD LEAVE JOB DUE TO VACCINE MANDATE: POLL

One percent of all adults in a Kaiser Family Foundation poll said they’ve left a job due to COVID-19 vaccine requirements as more workplaces institute mandates.

The KFF Vaccine Monitor for October released on Thursday determined that out of unvaccinated adults, just 5 percent left their jobs because of the requirements, “despite widespread news reports” of workplace vaccine mandates driving resignations.

Republicans are twice as likely as Democrats to report knowing someone who left their job due to a vaccine mandate, with almost a quarter of all adults saying they know someone who’s quit.

A quarter of workers reported their employers instituted a COVID-19 vaccine mandate — an increase of 16 percentage points since June.

Expected mandate response: The vaccine requirements come as the Biden administration moved forward with its plan to institute a vaccine-or-test mandate for all employers with at least 100 employees.

Almost half of unvaccinated workers, 46 percent, said under that type of mandate, they would opt for weekly testing. Eleven percent said they’d most likely get the vaccine while 37 percent, representing 1 percent of all adults, said they would leave their job.

But without the weekly testing option, a majority of unvaccinated workers, at 72 percent, said they would quit their jobs, representing 9 percent of all adults. Seventeen percent said they would get the vaccine in that situation, amounting to 2 percent of all adults.

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Florida’s DeSantis sues Biden over federal contractor vaccine mandate

© getty: Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R)

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday sued the Biden administration over its COVID-19 vaccine mandates for federal contractors, the latest in a series of GOP attacks on President Biden‘s pandemic response efforts.

The complaint, filed in federal district court in Tampa, calls the policy a “radical intrusion on the personal autonomy of American workers,” and seeks a preliminary nationwide injunction to block it from taking effect.

It names as defendants President Biden and a handful of federal agencies, including NASA, the General Services Administration and the Office of Management and Budget.

“It’s important for us to take a stand,” DeSantis said at a press conference. “Tossing people aside is just not something we can tolerate here in the state of Florida, so we are going to do everything we can.”

Deadline, but not a cliff: The policy is set to take effect Dec. 8. On Wednesday, White House coronavirus response coordinator Jeff Zients said the purpose of the mandates isn’t to punish people, and noted the deadlines for federal employees and contractors “are not cliffs.” He also indicated there will be levels of flexibility, and nobody will lose their jobs immediately: federal employers and contractors will be expected to educate, counsel and accommodate their unvaccinated workers to persuade them to receive the shot before terminating them.

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WORLD STATS

Coronavirus Cases:

246,325,262

Deaths:

4,997,353

Recovered:

223,188,175
Highlighted in green
= all cases have recovered from the infection
Highlighted in grey
= all cases have had an outcome (there are no active cases)

[back to top ↑]

Latest News

October 29 (GMT)

Updates

  • 274 new cases and 9 new deaths in Japan [source]
  • 4,503 new cases and 357 new deaths in Mexico [source]

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November is ‘Men’s Month’ on Nevis

NIA CHARLESTOWN NEVIS (October 28, 2021) — The Department of Gender Affairs in the Nevis Island Administration (NIA) announced on October 28, its calendar of activities planned for November dubbed Men’s Month, in observance of International Men’s Day on November 19. This year’s theme is “Better relations between men and women.”

Mr. Mario Phillip, Gender Affairs Officer at the department, while inviting the public to participate in the activities said they are pleased to provide the public with opportunities to show support for the men on Nevis.

“When people hear of gender, they normally think primarily of women, but we at the department we focus on both genders – male and female, and so we are happy to bring to you the number of events that we would be having in November to recognise the men of Nevis…

“We invite you to participate in all of these activities where you can and show your support. Remember on November 19th wear something blue and rally behind the men of Nevis,” he said.

The first activity will be a church service on Sunday, November 14, at the Brown Hill Wesleyan Holiness Church, at 10 a.m. an event which Mr. Phillip deems important to allow men to emphasise the spiritual aspect of their lives.

On Tuesday, November 16, a Mentorship Programme for boys will be launched at 9 a.m. at the department’s conference room at the GMBC building on Government Road. There will an introductory programme for prospective mentors where they will learn what is required of them and how they would be impacting the lives of boys.  

The next activity is slated for International Men’s Day on Friday, November 19.  On that day the public is invited to wear blue.

“It’s a blue affair, and so show your support for the men of Nevis by wearing blue… Each of us we are here on this earth because of a man, our father, but we would have encountered other impactful men along our life’s journey.

“Show your support for them and recognise them by wearing blue and we are inviting businesses as well. Decorate your space with blue balloons, blue curtains, what you can to show men that you are rallying behind them,” Mr. Phillip said.

Later that day, the department will award deserving men at an awards ceremony at the Nevis Performing Arts Centre at 7:30 p.m.

“This award is to highlight and recognise the men in our communities who would have done outstanding work in bettering the relations between men and women. So they would have supported men and women, boys and girls to ensure that our society is strong and stable and prosperous…

“We are looking at men who would be instrumental in shaping not only boys but also girls; not only women but also men to ensure that we have individuals, strong families, and those men will receive their special recognition at the awards ceremony,” Mr. Phillip explained.

There will be a Health and Wellness Walk and a 10k Bike Race on Saturday, November 20.  Those activities are designed to pay special attention to the physical aspect of men with the support of women. The walk will begin from Charlestown to the by-pass road and back into town. The route for the bike race is from Charlestown to Cotton Ground and back. Both activities will begin at 6 a.m.  Prizes will only be awarded to the male participants.

Tuesday, November 23 will be the culmination of the training for the Boys’ Mentorship Programme which will be held at the department’s conference room at 9 a.m. It will be followed by the Men Can Cook Grill Master Competition on November 27.

Men’s Month 2021 celebrations will culminate with a bike relay hosted by SKN Moves Nevis Chapter. It will commence at 6 a.m. in Charlestown proceed onto the by-pass road and back into town.

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Berejiklian grilled during gruelling ICAC probe

Former Premier Gladys Berejiklian has doubled down on claims her secret relationship with Daryl Maguire was not "sufficient" enough to declare, despite admitting she was in love with him and had "aspirations" to marry him.

Ms Berejiklian faced about five hours of questioning in the ICAC witness box, as the body looks at whether or not she breached the public trust.

But when questioned over whether she would have disclosed the relationship if she "had her time over again", she said she "would not have".

READ MORE: How to have a COVID-safe Halloween in NSW this year

Former NSW Premier Gladys Berejikilian arrives at ICAC.  29/10/21 Photo by Renee Nowytarger /  SMH

"I did not think it was of sufficient significance," she told Counsel Assisting.

"I was never assured to a level of commitment where I would introduce him to my parents, or introduce him to my sisters," she said.

That's despite agreeing she and Mr Maguire talked about marriage, and a child, and that he had a key to her Sydney home.

"I regarded him as part of my love circle, the people I strongly cared for," Ms Berejiklian said.

"So you're saying Mr Maguire is no different to the rest of your friends, is that what you're saying," Scott Robertson asked.

"No, I'm not saying that at all."

READ MORE: How does international travel work now Australian borders are opening?

NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian and former MP Daryl Maguire.

At times, Ms Berejiklian became defensive in the stand and tried to offer explanations to her answers, earning her the wrath of Commissioner Ruth McColl.

"Could I ask you just answer Mr Robertson's questions and not make speeches," she said.

Several phone taps were played over the course of the day, with ICAC hearing one conversation, in which Daryl Maguire pushed for more hospital funding in his electorate.

"I'll deal with it. I'll fix it," Ms Berejiklian is heard promising him in 2018.    

In a second recorded call that same evening, the then-Premier said she had intervened, speaking to the then-Treasurer, Dominic Perrottet.

"I've just spoke to Dom, and I said just put the 140 in the budget, and he said no worries. He just does what I ask him to."

READ MORE: Wild weather batters Victoria

Daryl Maguire gives evidence at Gladys Berejiklian ICAC hearing

When questioned about whether she was giving Mr Maguire's electorate special treatment, she said: "building a hospital is not of personal benefit to me… it is a community asset.. it is something the electorate needs."

In another intercepted phone call, Ms Berejiklian talked about holding off firing a public servant for Mr Maguire. 

"I can't stand that guy… his head will be gone soon," she said.

"Not until he fixes my conservatorium," he replied.

"Ok good tell him to fix it and then after he fixes it I'm sacking him," she said.

READ MORE: Cup Day public holiday to be Melbourne's warmest in seven months

https://twitter.com/lizziedaniels/status/1453849266556837900

Under questioning about why she did not come forward to ICAC after Mr Maguire was forced to resign following allegations aired at a separate inquiry, she said she believed he had done nothing wrong.

The commission heard long tapes of the phone conversation, in which Mr Maguire first told her he'd been called to give evidence, in 2018.

"I think was the benefit of the skullduggery he was up to," Mr Maguire said of a former associate.

"I don't want to know any of that stuff."

"I've always kept my distance from people like that. I think they're dodgy," she said.

Ms Berejiklian will be back in the stand on Monday, she denies any wrongdoing.

Dust storm saturates rural Queensland town

A dust storm has blanketed Queensland's far south-west overnight, turning skies red and leaving a thick layer dirt across a small town.

Wind gusts peaking at 93 kilometres per hour tore through the regional town of Thargomindah yesterday evening, bringing with it giant clouds of earthy red dust.

The town is home to just 270 people, who today have begun a massive cleanup effort to remove the grit from homes and properties.

READ MORE: Extreme winds in excess of 100km/h wreaking havoc across Victoria

READ MORE: Residents caught in David and Goliath fight over Bunnings plan

Meteorologist, James Thompson said that the dust originated about 100 kilometres inland in the state's far west, and was carried across the skies due to extreme winds.

"We had a trough moving through the area yesterday and that really brought those ferocious winds associated with those storms," he said.

Although apocalyptic looking, dust storms are not uncommon in Australia and often occur during summer and spring in particularly dry conditions.

https://twitter.com/BOM_au/status/1453875713791176719

While the dust settled on Thargomindah, a cattle station near Goondiwindi copped the worst of another supercell storm.

Destructive winds tore down several sheds, with residents describing tornado like conditions that saw sheet metal and debris strewn kilometres.

Workers of the cattle station hid under machines to avoid the flying debris.

Goondiwindi shire councillor, Rick Kearney said locals were still recovering from the aftermath.

"I believe they've just finished or they're partway through their harvest and they've put a lot of their harvesting equipment under the shed for protection by the looks of it," he said.

https://twitter.com/BOM_Qld/status/1453946403688890373

The Bureau of Meteorology has confirmed the worst could be yet to come, with more severe weather set to hit the south-east tomorrow.

A southerly wind change in the afternoon could trigger severe storms from the Gold Coast to Gympie, continuing a month of dramatic weather events.

Report: World Not Making Changes Needed To Avoid Climate Breakdown

Pace of emissions reductions must be increased significantly to keep global heating to 1.5C

Guardian

Every corner of society is failing to take the “transformational change” needed to avert the most disastrous consequences of the climate crisis, with trends either too slow or in some cases even regressing, according to a major new global analysis.

Across 40 different areas spanning the power sector, heavy industry, agriculture, transportation, finance and technology, not one is changing quickly enough to avoid 1.5C in global heating beyond pre-industrial times, a critical target of the Paris climate agreement, according to the new Systems Change Lab report.

The dangerously sluggish pace of decarbonization, made plain just days before the start of crucial UN climate talks in Scotland, further highlights how the world is badly off track in its attempts to curb climate breakdown.

Atmospheric levels of planet-heating gases hit a new record high last year, and the UN has warned the amount of fossil fuel extraction planned by countries “vastly exceeds” the limit needed to keep below the 1.5C threshold.

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“We need to pull out the stops in every sector, to transform our power generation, the diets we have, how we manage land and more, all simultaneously,” said Kelly Levin, chief of science at the Bezos Earth Fund, one of the report’s co-authors. “We need transformational change and it’s very clear the trends aren’t moving fast enough.”

From renewable electricity generation to meat consumption to public financing for fossil fuels, the report found that no indicator was showing the required progress to cut emissions in half this decade before eliminating greenhouse gases completely by 2050, which would give the world a chance to keep below 1.5C.

Coal needs to be phased out five times faster than it is now, according to the analysis, while the pace of reforestation needs to be three times faster. Coastal wetlands need to be restored nearly three times faster, climate finance needs to grow 13 times faster and the energy intensity of buildings needs to drop at a rate almost three times faster than now.

In wealthy countries across Europe and North America, the consumption of beef needs to reduce 1.5 times faster than it is now. In these countries with high meat consumption and plentiful alternatives, cutting back to the equivalent of one and a half burgers per person a week would significantly reduce demand for land and greenhouse gas emissions.

There are some glimmers of promise: the global share of electricity generated from solar and wind has grown at 15% annually over the past five years and renewables have become the most cost-effective replacement for coal in most places. Electric vehicle adoption is on the rise, reaching more than 4% of worldwide car sales last year.

The report also found there was a good chance, given proper support, of “exponential” progress in technology such as the direct removal of carbon dioxide from the air, which scientists have said will probably have to be deployed on a grand scale to reduce worsening climate disasters. But overall the picture is of a world moving too slowly to confront the climate crisis.

“While things are heading in the right direction in some areas, we are moving too slowly to avoid 1.5C,” said Sophie Boehm, a climate researcher at World Resources Institute and report co-author. “If that continues, we will fall woefully short of the goals to avoid disastrous climate change. It’s very worrying we are not on track for any of these target areas.”

While progress is lagging in most places, three areas in particular – cement production, steel making and efforts to place a fee on carbon emissions – are stagnating, the report found. A further three – emissions from agriculture, the share of trips made by cars and the deforestation rate – are moving in the wrong direction.

“We need complete u-turns from these areas,” said Levin. “With climate change you can’t just head in the right direction, you need to do it at pace. Without that, we will reach disastrous tipping points.”

There is little optimism that countries will make the required commitments to salvage this situation at the Glasgow talks, known as Cop26, with Boris Johnson, the British prime minister, admitting it is “touch and go” whether the required action will be taken. John Kerry, who is Joe Biden’s climate envoy, has said there will likely be “gaps” in emissions-cutting plans put forward by governments.

Should the world breach 1.5C in global heating, the planet will be hit by an increasing frequency of deadly heatwaves, ruinous storms, disastrous flooding and crop failures, wiping trillions of dollars from economic activity and forcing the displacement of millions of people. António Guterres, secretary general of the UN, has warned the world is risking a “hellish future” through its lack of urgency to confront the crisis.

“We have the technology for the majority of these areas to decarbonize,” said Bill Hare, chief executive of Climate Analytics, an organization that provided input to the new report. “What we need is political will, and for governments to catch up with the opportunity this transition will bring for their economies.”

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Great-grandmother's lucky escape after roof crashes down in storm

A 93-year-old great-grandmother has miraculously survived after the roof of her Melbourne home came crashing down during ferocious storms.

Wind gusts of up to 120km/h destroyed elderly resident Lola's Chelsea home of more than 40 years this morning.

Debris then came plummeting down, covering the woman, who managed to reach for her mobile phone to call her son.

READ MORE: Hundreds of thousands without power after storm ravages Victoria

Her son Alex Wies told 9News he ran up with a neighbour to save her.

"The whole roof came down," he said.

"I went upstairs to get my mum and I don't know how she survived it's a miracle.

"The whole bedroom was completely gone, she just got out of trouble in time."

Parts of the roof also landed on active power lines and crushed the family car.

READ MORE: SES hero returns home to find family trapped, house smashed by storm

The woman, who is a Holocaust survivor, managed to escape without a scratch.

"I can't believe she got out, but it's amazing. Somebody's looking after her," Mr Wies said.

The home will have to be demolished along with many other neighbouring houses that suffered similar damage.

More than 300,000 Victorians are still without power and some residents may in the dark until Monday following the destructive storm.

As of 2pm today, there were still about 328,000 properties in the dark.

The SES has received more than 3000 calls for help, 2300 relating to fallen trees and 490 regarding building damage – but only about seven houses are unliveable.