Tag Archives: oceania

Experts warn brewing El Niño could hit Australia later this year

Now that the La Niña season is officially over, experts believe that Australia could be in store for a an El Niño episode later in the year.

The Bureau of Meteorology said that while the Pacific Ocean is in a neutral state set to last until at least late autumn, there are "strong signs that El Niño could emerge later this year".

"While sea surface temperatures are currently near average at the surface of the tropical Pacific Ocean, there is a large pool of abnormally warm water building beneath the surface," the bureau said.

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"This deep warm water is expected to emerge at the surface in the coming months, which increases the likelihood of El Niño."

The bureau said that most international forecast models also anticipate the conditions to emerge between late autumn and late winter before running into the second half of the year.

Some models have also suggested the potential for a strong or even super El Niño, however, that will not reflect the strength of its influence on Australian weather.

An El Niño system develops when warmer-than-average water lies at the top of the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean and cooler-than-average water sits at the top of western tropical Pacific waters.

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The Bureau of Meteorology has said that Australia could be in store for an extra hot Summer.

The water surface temperatures play a role in wind and pressure changes in the overlying atmosphere, which act to reduce cloud and rainfall in parts of the country.

The forecast comes as the Bureau of Meteorology declared that the La Niña season ended on March 31.

The system began in spring last year and lasted six months, bringing above-average amounts of rain across large parts of Australia's north and central regions.

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The most recent La Niña did not bring wetter-than-usual weather to some parts of Australia.

Despite bringing flooding in multiple states, the Bureau of Meteorology described the most recent La Niña episode as "relatively weak" due to the lack of wet weather it brought to some parts of the country.

"This is a good reminder that no two La Niña events are the same and their impacts can vary considerably from one La Niña to the next."

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Thunderstorms, showers and sun: Mixed bag of weather for Easter

The Easter long weekend is just days away, and most states and territories are forecast to receive some rays of sunshine amongst clouds and scattered showers.

Western Australia and South Australia look to be the winners this Easter, with warm, sunny days on the horizon across the weekend.

Meanwhile, possible thunderstorms will threaten the Northern Territory across the weekend and showers will hang around in other states.

Here's what the weather will be like around the country across the Easter long weekend.

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New South Wales

Sydney's looking at a wet Easter weekend, with showers from Friday to Monday.

Friday will be warm and mostly sunny in the morning, with a maximum temperature of 26 degrees and rain in the evening.

The mercury will drop on Saturday, and it will remain cooler for the rest of the long weekend, with maximums of 25 degrees.

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Pedestrians in the rain on Broadway on Thursday 21st August 2025.

Australian Capital Territory

The weather will be mild and partly cloudy in Canberra over the Easter long weekend.

It will remain mainly dry across the weekend, with maximum temperatures ranging from 25 degrees on Friday to 19 degrees on Saturday.

Queensland

Brisbane has a little bit of rain on the way, with a moderate to high chance of showers on every day of the long weekend.

Thankfully the rain is only expected to total one or two millimetres on each day, and temperatures will be in the high 20s all weekend.

It should cool a little on Monday.

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A general view is seen of Brisbane from the Mount Coot-tha Summit Lookout on March 05, 2025 in Brisbane, Australia. Tropical Cyclone Alfred is expected to make landfall in southeast Queensland and northern NSW as a Category 2 storm, marking the first time a cyclone has directly hit the region in over 50 years. The storm is forecast to bring damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and potential storm surges.

Victoria

There will be a chill in the air and a few showers in Melbourne over the long weekend.

Friday will be cold with a high of 18 degrees and a light shower or two.

Showers will subside on Saturday, when the sun is expected to come out, with a high of 21 degrees forecast.

Sunday will be warm and sunny with a top of 26 degrees.

Monday will be the wettest day, with a 70 per cent chance of rain, but the mercury is still expected to top 26 degrees.

Tasmania

It's going to be frosty in Hobart this Easter, though the chill should abate by Monday.

Friday is forecast for a maximum temperature of just 15 degrees, and Saturday isn't much better, with a predicted high of 17 degrees.

Sunday and Monday will be warmer with highs of 20 and 23 degrees, respectively.

There's a high chance of showers on Monday, accompanied by light northerly winds.

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Set among the historic Georgian sandstone buildings of Salamanca Place in Hobart, this famous market attracts thousands of locals and visitors every Saturday of the year.

South Australia

The forecast for Adelaide this Easter is looking ideal for outdoor activities with family and friends.

Clouds on Friday will part for a sunny and warm high of 27 degrees.

Sunday is set to reach 29 degrees, with a slight chance of a shower in the evening.

There's a moderate chance of rain on Monday morning, before a maximum 27 degree-day.

Western Australia

Perth will be treated to a warm, sunny Easter long weekend.

Friday is forecast for a maximum temperature of 28 degrees, then the weather will cool a little with highs hovering at 24 degrees for Saturday and Sunday, and 25 degrees on Monday.

There's hardly any chance of rain all weekend.

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Perth, Australia - March 27, 2025: Drone photograph of buildings around Elizabeth Quay at sunset.

Northern Territory

It's going to be hot and wet in Darwin this Easter, with possible thunderstorms forecast everyday.

There's a high chance of rain from Friday to Monday, with temperatures between 33 and 34 degrees every day.

Monday will be the wettest day, with up to 15mm rain forecast.

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We were all set for prime time, then we were let down with a thud by our leaders

Opinion: In terms of doom and gloom, we're being bombarded at the moment with bad news.

War in
the Middle East. Skyrocketing fuel prices. Bowsers running dry. Inflation and interest rates
soaring.

In such uncertain times, we crave certainty, but it feels like we're being let down badly by our
leaders.

When Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced he was delivering an address to the
nation, expectations were high. Prime-time speeches from our leaders are rare.

The last one
was from Scott Morrison in 2020 during Covid. Before that, Kevin Rudd spoke to Australians
in 2009 about the impact of the global financial crisis. John Howard announced Australia's
involvement in the Iraq war in 2003.

Given the gravity of a national address from our leader, there was also a degree of anxiety
about what Anthony Albanese might reveal, but it turned out to be a major let-down.

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No new announcements. Nothing that hadn't already been flagged in press conferences or
media releases. Just an urging for Australians to stay calm, do what we can to reduce our
fuel use, and enjoy Easter.

No details or plans on how the country will cope if the war in Iran drags on, and what we'll do
to keep the country moving after the planned fuel shipments to Australia arrive and the Strait
of Hormuz stays shut, stopping new supplies from getting through.

After that disappointment, the world then watched on as US President Donald Trump walked
up to the lectern in the Oval Office of the White House to deliver a prime-time address to the
American people.

Again expectations were high that big news was coming. Financial
markets rallied on the hope the Commander in Chief would be announcing an end to the
conflict.

Instead, another dud.

Donald Trump simply reiterated the boasts he'd already posted on Truth Social that the US
was winning hard, delivered more justification for bombing Iran in the first place, and in his
usual style had mixed messages on what's coming next.

He claimed the war would be over in two-to-three weeks, but vowed to bomb Iran back into the dark
ages, where he said they belonged.

The financial markets tanked on the back of his aggressive tone, reflecting the uneasy
feeling that comes with even more uncertainty.

The gloom also deepened for the rest of the world being impacted by a war we had no say in
from President Trump's lack of concern about oil shipments being blocked. Just buy more oil
from America he said – or allies should just 'take' the strait of Hormuz themselves.

Final countdown to moon mission blast off

At least we got something to smile about. The launch of the first crewed mission to the Moon
in more than 50 years with the Artemis II is a rare bright spot. Let's hope the entire 10-day
journey continues in the same way it started – an overwhelming success.

We need all the good news we can get.