Tag Archives: oceania

Catastrophic weather has created the 'perfect storm'. But there's hope

The last 12 months will be remembered, in part, for the near-relentless flooding and rain, which a finance expert has warned makes a "perfect storm" for insurance pain.

There is one silver lining on the horizon: wet weather is expected to ease in 2023 as La Niña wanes.

Steve Mickenbecker, insurance expert at financial comparison site Canstar, said insurance premiums rose drastically from September 2021 to August 2022.

He predicts further increases next year and has flagged the areas most at risk.

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Mickenbecker said premiums went up by 6.6 per cent nationally.

"But you look at Queensland up 11 per cent and Northern Territory 16.7 per cent and it's very clear this is about floods and big storms," he told 9news.com.au.

"This period proceeded some of the more recent flooding.

"You think about all those floods in western and northern NSW – the western region flooding was a bit out of the blue and a bit unexpected – so there will have to be some more increases surely."

Soaring construction costs play a part in premium prices too, Mickenbecker explained.

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Premiums based on quotes obtained for Canstar's 2021 and 2022 Home and Contents Insurance Awards and Star Ratings (September 2021, August 2022).

"The floods, storms, potentially bushfires; they influence the number of claims insurers are likely to have," he said.

"But the other side of it is building costs will affect how much it would cost the insurer to settle the claim, and they've gone up as well.

"More claims and more expensive claims are why premiums have gone up.

"It is the perfect storm."

Mickenbecker said it's too early to forecast how much insurance premiums will rise but he did flag some of the areas most at risk.

Both western Sydney and northern Victoria make his list.

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CFA, Army, and Airforce working together Sand baging along Campaspie Esp. In Echuca West

"Unfortunately I think they'll see some rises, because the floods were so widespread," he said.

"They did (already) go up but not by as much as the north of the country, NSW went up by 4.1 per cent, and Victoria by 2.8 per cent.

"Having had the floods they had, I expect they will see a much more significant premium increase."

Mickenbecker's comments come after data, released by the Insurance Council of Australia (ICA) in November, showed the insurance bill for storms and floods since January 2020 has topped $12.3 billion.

The NSW and southeast Queensland floods of February and March 2022 alone accounted for $5.65 billion worth of claims.

From the 237,000 claims counted, around 68.7 per cent were closed.

The forecasted rise in premiums comes as a weather expert predicts a dramatic shift in Australia's climate.

So, what will the weather hold next year?

Weather records tumbled as Australia was hit with its third consecutive La Niña event.

The country experienced its second wettest Spring in history, with Sydney recording its soggiest year on record.

Lisa Alexander, a climate scientist with the University of NSW, told 9news.com.au above average rainfall will likely persist for the first three months of the year, with cooler temperatures felt across the east coast.

Lightning dances across the sky near Griffith, NSW. Severe storms brought torrential rain to the Riverina in the state's south west.

But Alexander does think clear skies are on the horizon, eventually.

"Four years of La Niña, that's not something that has really been seen," she said.

"We're probably not going to get another one in a row, but unfortunately it becomes quite tricky because there is a point at which we can't predict what is going to happen.

"It's not until we're almost at the event we can say it's going to happen."

Alexander also thinks an El Niño year is unlikely.

The weather event is the warm phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and is associated with hot weather and droughts.

"We almost certainly won't flip to one," she said.

"It is possible, but it's unusual to go from a La Niña, straight to an El Niño.

"More likely than not it will be neutral conditions".

Alexander's climate predictions are in line with the Bureau of Meterology's long range summer forecast, which flags a wetter-than-usual summer along the east coast, and drier-than-usual conditions across large parts of Western Australia.

READ MORE: What will the weather on Christmas Day be like?

Young parents killed in Christmas Day crash

Three children have lost their parents after a crash on Christmas Day in Western Australia.

Cindy Braddock, 25, and Jack Day, 28, left Northam to travel to Bruce Rock with their three children at 1am on Sunday.

They were reported missing after they failed to arrive at their destination.

Missing family from WA, last seen leaving Northam.

READ MORE: Almost 350 rescued from NSW beaches in single day as hot weather turned tragic in Victoria

Police revealed this evening that the children had been found alive with non-life-threatening injuries.

Both of their parents had been killed.

Police said the children spent close to two days alone near the car before they were found by a family member.

The car was discovered just before midday local time outside of Kondinin.

More to come

Two teens killed after boat towing them crashes into tree

Two teenagers being towed behind a boat have died after a crash in New South Wales.

Emergency services were called to a caravan park on Ski Gardens Road in Rushes Creek, about 60km north-west of Tamworth, after reports of a boating crash about 5pm today.

The teenagers, 13 and 14, were being towed behind the boat when it collided with a tree, NSW Police said.

"Members of the public performed CPR before NSW Ambulance paramedics arrived; however, they could not be revived," police said.

"The driver of the boat – a man believed to be in his 70s – was taken to hospital for mandatory testing."

An investigation is underway.

A report will be prepared for the coroner.

Two teens charged after woman's death

Two teenagers have been charged with murder after the death of a woman at her Queensland home on Boxing Day.

Emma Lovell, 41, was allegedly stabbed while fighting off two people at her property in North Lakes in Moreton Bay, north of Brisbane, at 11.30pm on Monday.

Two 17-year-old boys, one from Holland Park and the other Zillmere, have both been charged with one count each of murder, attempted murder and enter dwelling with intent in company.

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Emma Lovell, 41, was allegedly stabbed while fighting off two people at her property in North Lakes in Moreton Bay, north of Brisbane, at 11.30pm on Monday.

Both have been denied police bail and are due to appear in the Brisbane Childrens Court.

A 17-year-old boy and a 16-year-old boy are assisting police with inquiries.

Paramedics tried to revive the 41-year-old, but she died at the scene.

Her husband, a 43-year-old man, was treated for non-life-threatening injuries.

He has since been released from hospital.

The couple is originally from the UK.

Anyone with information, dashcam or CCTV footage is urged to contact police. 

Neighbours reported hearing screams and have been left rattled by the incident.

"This is just incredible. I've never seen so many police cars," one told 9News.

"This is really incredible. This is scary stuff. This is a little close to home, I think."

Anyone with information, dashcam or CCTV footage is urged to contact police. 

Australia's property market among the most 'misaligned' in the world

Property prices in Australia may be up to 50 per cent higher than what the average household can afford, according to a global housing analysis.

A new report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has found Australia's market is among the most misaligned in the developed world.

It claims the average Australian household would need to spend more than 40 per cent of its disposable income to afford a median-priced house.

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Property prices in Australia may be up to 50 per cent higher than what the average household can afford, according to a global housing analysis.

That is a due to a combination of higher prices and sharp increases in interest rates.

With interest rates expected to climb higher next year, the report suggests the market is at risk of a sizable fall in prices.

During the pandemic, when interest rates were at record lows, median house prices soared more than 30 per cent across the country.

The report also notes Australia's rental market is the second worst in the Asia Pacific region behind New Zealand.

The IMF claims that governments and central banks need to consider a range of policies to address housing affordability, including the construction of social housing and tax system reforms.

The federal government is planning to establish a $10 billion fund to provide social and affordable homes.