Tag Archives: oceania

Flash flooding forecast for parts of eastern Victoria

A flood watch has been issued for East Gippsland in Victoria as residents in the state's east are being warned to brace themselves for severe rain and potential flash flooding.

The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) is warning moderate to major flooding is likely across the East Gippsland region from tonight through to Monday.

Watch and Act warnings have also been issued for the Mitchell, Tambo and Nicholson Rivers in the state.

READ MORE: NSW Ambulance service overwhelmed four times in the past fortnight

https://twitter.com/BOM_au/status/1510103628241162241?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Residents living near and around these rivers are being urged Victorian emergency services to move to higher ground to avoid being stuck in potential floodwaters.

Minor flooding is also likely for parts of West Gippsland, set to impact the Avon, Macalister, Thomson and South Gippsland Rivers.

Parts of East Gippsland could also experience rain totals of up to 150mm, with residents being urged to prepare and stay informed about potential risks.

A low-pressure system in the Tasman Sea is forecast to move south-westerly, and deepen and slow down as it approaches waters off the East Gippsland coast, according to the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM).

READ MORE: Thousands of NSW health workers to strike

https://twitter.com/vicemergency/status/1510448349673308160?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw

Subsequently, the BoM is forecasting heavy rainfall in the area that may result in dangerous flash flooding.

A major flood warning has been issued for the Genoa and Cann Rivers.

Damaging winds are also forecast with peak gusts of 100km/h being predicted.

While most of New South Wales is set to experience sunnier weather today, parts of the state's south-east will also be impacted by the low-pressure system hitting eastern Victoria.

Heavy rainfall is forecast for the town of Eden on the south coast, with at least 100mm expected to fall.

Warnings of damaging surf has also been issued by the BoM for NSW's Illawarra and South Coast.

And people in the affected areas are being advised not to swim, with waves expected to exceed five metres in height.

Putin is making the same mistakes that doomed Hitler: Analysis

Analysis by John Blake: Russian President Vladimir Putin often evokes the Soviet Union's epic defeat of Nazi Germany during World War II to justify his country's invasion of Ukraine.

Yet Putin is committing some of the same blunders that doomed Germany's 1941 invasion of the USSR, while using "Hitler-like tricks and tactics" to justify his brutality, military historians and scholars say.

This is the savage irony behind Putin's decision to invade Ukraine that's become clear as the war enters its second month: the Russian leader, who portrays himself as a student of history, is floundering because he hasn't paid enough attention to the lessons of the "Great Patriotic War" he reveres.

READ MORE: Ukrainian forces retake areas near Kyiv amid fear of traps

Military experts and scholars say Russian President Vladimir Putin is committing some of the same blunders that doomed Germany's 1941 invasion of the USSR.

"I have been trying to make sense of this for a month, because as terrible as Putin is, you could never say he was illogical," says Peter T. DeSimone, an associate professor of Russian and Eastern European history at Utica University in New York.

"All of this is illogical, and that's the scary thing," he says.

"This is not normal for what he's done in the past. This is something that makes no sense on many levels, and not just in regard to World War II."

There are, of course, significant differences between the current war in Ukraine and the clash between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union.

The Nazi war machine was formidable, agile, and well-trained. The Wehrmacht killed and wounded 150,000 Red Army soldiers in the first week of their invasion in June of 1941. They seized vast swaths of territory, and in one "mega-encirclement" trapped four Soviet armies, capturing 700,000 prisoners of war.

And there is no moral equivalence between Joseph Stalin, the Soviet dictator, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Stalin was a sociopath (he once reached into a cage and killed a family pet parrot because its chirping annoyed him) who starved millions of Ukrainians to death and routinely murdered political rivals.

Zelenskyy is a democratically elected leader who has rallied Ukrainians and inspired the world with his conspicuous displays of courage and eloquent defence of democracy.

But look closer at Putin's struggles in Ukraine and ironic parallels emerge. Military historians say Putin is following Hitler's ill-fated playbook in at least three areas.

Putin forgot a basic rule of warfare

The tank has long struck dread in enemy troops. When the British introduced the first lumbering tanks during World War I, soldiers fled in terror.

Ukraine, though, has become, according to one recent headline, a "graveyard for Russian tanks." Ukrainian soldiers are using everything from drones to Javelins to destroy tank convoys.

But Russian tanks have been stymied for another surprising reason: lack of fuel. The lack of fuel is part of a bigger problem. The once-vaunted Russian army has become bogged down in Ukraine not just because of fierce resistance but by something more prosaic: logistics.

READ MORE: Ex-ICC prosecutor urges global arrest warrant for Putin

A grave stone showing the portrait of Russian President Vladimir Putin changed to look like Adolf Hitler is seen against a tyre barricade at a Ukrainian army checkpoint.

Putin has struggled to feed, fuel and equip his army. There have been reports of Russian troops looting banks and supermarkets, tanks running out of fuel, and soldiers using substandard forms of military communication – like smartphones – that have contributed to what Ukraine says are the deaths of at least seven Russian generals.

"The evidence suggests that Putin thought he could win a quick victory with the deployment of special forces and airborne units," says Ian Ona Johnson, a professor of military history at the University of Notre Dame.

"So when they were forced to go to a much more traditional war involving essentially most of the Russian army along the Ukrainian border, they weren't prepared for some of the logistics."

Poor logistical planning also played a critical role in Nazi Germany's defeat on the Eastern front, where Hitler expected a quick victory.

The German army failed to set up sufficient supply lines for the vast distances and harsh terrain of the Soviet Union. German tanks ran out of fuel. The consequences of this poor logistical planning would prove fatal when the Russian winter hit.

Hitler didn't equip many of his soldiers with winter clothing because he thought the Soviet army was so inferior. German soldiers were forced to fight in freezing temperatures while still clad in their summer uniforms, with some using newspaper and straw to shield themselves against the cold.

"This proved devastating when a particularly brutal Russian winter set in," Prof. Johnson said.

"Something like 250,000 German soldiers eventually suffered frostbite injuries or died from the cold that winter because of logistical issues."

The German army reached its lowest point at the battle of Stalingrad, considered the turning point of World War II. There ill-equipped German soldiers were forced to eat horses, dogs and rats to survive the winter.

READ MORE: Retreating Russian troops leaving mines behind: Zelenskyy

Ukrainian soldiers patrol next to a destroyed Russian tank in the village of Lukianivka near Kyiv.

The scale of the fighting in Ukraine today doesn't approach the Eastern Front, but the lesson from both wars can be summed up in a military maxim attributed to Gen. Omar Bradley, an American general during World War II:

"Amateurs talk strategy. Professionals talk logistics."

He alienated potential allies

In a war already full of heartbreaking images, one photo may be the worst.

It is a haunting photo of a pregnant Ukrainian woman in torn clothes being carried on a stretcher. The woman is conscious, her hand cradled protectively over her bare womb, which is smeared with blood.

Both she and her baby would later die from her injuries. Ukrainian authorities say she was in a maternity hospital in the besieged city of Mariupol when it was shelled by Russian artillery.

The image underscored what some commentators now say is Putin's standard approach to war: He is indiscriminately killing civilians to break the will of the Ukrainian people.

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An image captured of Soviet soldiers fighting in the streets of Stalingrad in October 1942.

Russia's army has been accused of bombing hospitals, shopping malls, apartment buildings and a theatre with the word "children" written in Russian on the exterior of the building. Russia also been accused of trying to starve a Ukrainian city into submission by blocking humanitarian relief.

The Russian army's brutality, though, is having the opposite effect, Maria Varenikova wrote from Lviv, Ukraine, in a recent article for the New York Times.

"If there is one overriding emotion gripping Ukraine right now, it is hate," Ms Varenikova said.

"It is a deep, seething bitterness for President Vladimir V. Putin, his military, and his government."

Brutality can backfire in war.

Putin has potential allies in Ukraine. Russia and Ukraine are two Slavic nations that share religious and cultural ties. Many Ukrainians have relatives in Russia and speak the language. And there has historically been more allegiance to Russia in the eastern part of the country.

But Putin's indiscriminate brutality against civilians is uniting Ukrainians in a way they've never been brought together before. One commentator called hate a "hidden treasure" in war because it can sustain resistance for generations.

Hitler's indiscriminate brutality against Soviet civilians also played a crucial factor in his defeat.

Hitler had many potential allies in the Soviet Union. Many Soviets despised and feared Stalin, who routinely murdered political opponents, executed military leaders and persecuted Soviet citizens. He murdered about four million Ukrainians by starving them during one infamous period known as the Holodomor.

That's why some Soviets initially welcomed Hitler as a liberator, and gave some German troops Christmas presents.

But Hitler's brutal treatment of civilians quickly stiffened Soviet resistance. German troops looted and starved Russian cities into submission. They rounded up Soviet Jews and other minorities, shooting them or poisoning them in mobile gassing vans.

Nazi propaganda taught Germans that Soviets were generically inferior "Mongolized" Slavs who deserved death or enslavement.

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Smoke rises from a destroyed Russian tank on the side of a road in the Lugansk region of Ukraine.

"The Nazis were not an occupying force; they were an extermination force from the start," says Mr DeSimone, the historian from Utica University.

Stalin was so hated that roughly a million Soviets served in the German army, says Johnson, the Notre Dame historian. Hitler's brutality destroyed any chance he had of picking off Soviet sympathisers and weakening Soviet resistance, Johnson says.

"Instead of taking advantage of large numbers of people who might been sympathetic or at least think the Germans were better than the Soviets," he says, "Hitler rapidly alienated all those groups."

He's using Hitler-like language to justify war

Last summer, Putin published a lengthy essay entitled "On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians" that sought to explain that there was an artificial division between the two countries and that "true sovereignty of Ukraine is possible only in partnership with Russia."

The language Putin used caused some historians to shudder.

They said he echoed some of the same rhetoric Hitler used in "Mein Kampf," the dictator's autobiography and political manifesto. Hitler's book brimmed with distorted history about Germany's lost greatness, global conspiracies that undercut Germany's power, and justifications for conquest of another group of people.

"Like the Führer, the president of Russia bemoans the tragedy that has befallen his homeland, an erstwhile empire, and he too wants to turn back the clock," wrote Avi Garfinkel, a reporter for Haaretz, an Israeli newspaper, in an article entitled, "How Putin's Ukraine Agenda Evokes Hitler's Mein Kampf."

This may be one of the most disturbing links between Putin and Hitler. Some Putin critics say he is using Nazi language and propaganda techniques to justify the invasion of Ukraine.

They compared the "Z" inscribed on Russian tanks to a symbol used by Nazis in concentration camps. Others compared a recent massive war rally Putin led in a Moscow stadium to scenes of a Hitler speech in an infamous Nazi propaganda film called "Triumph of the Will."

Some of the strongest reaction to Putin's rhetoric stems from his claim that the Russian army is striving for the "de-Nazification" of Ukraine and seeks to protect people who have been "abused by the genocide of the Kyiv regime."

Timothy Snyder, a leading authority on Central European history and the Holocaust, says Putin's claim about "de-Nazification" is "grotesque" because he's trying to justify invading a democratic country – led by a Jewish president who lost relatives in the Holocaust – by claiming he's there to fight Nazis.

Mr Snyder calls Putin's justification a variation of Hitler's Big Lie – a Nazi propaganda technique that insists that if a political leader repeats a colossal untruth enough, people will eventually believe it.

READ MORE: Flash flooding forecast for parts of Victoria

Russian President Vladimir Putin often evokes the Soviet Union's epic defeat of Nazi Germany during World War II to justify his country's invasion of Ukraine, according to historians.

"Adolf Hitler had some public relations advice: Tell a lie so big that people will not believe that you would ever try to deceive them on such a grand scale," Mr Snyder wrote in an essay titled, "Putin's Hitler-like tricks and tactics in Ukraine."

By telling lies that Ukraine is run by Nazis bent on genocide, Putin is making a mockery of people who survived the Holocaust, says Mr Snyder.

Yet Putin's embrace of the Big Lie could also backfire. In a country where many citizens' ancestors perished in the Holocaust, invoking such a historical tragedy to justify war may only make some Ukrainians more determined to defend their homeland.

Perhaps that is why some Ukrainians no longer call Putin the Russian president. They call him "The New Hitler."

What could be the biggest irony of all?

We know the result of Hitler's invasion. The Soviet Union eventually destroyed the Nazi war machine. The Soviets, more than any country, were responsible for the defeat of Nazi Germany. Hitler committed suicide as Russian troops closed in on his Berlin bunker in 1945.

An estimated 26 million Soviets died during World War II. One was Putin's two-year-old brother, Viktor, who died after the German army lay siege to a Russian city, blocking the delivery of food and water.

We don't know how the war in Ukraine will end. Putin could still prevail. He could split the nation and seize the energy-rich resources of Eastern Ukraine and consolidate his hold on the country's coastline, some say.

READ MORE: Thousands of NSW health workers to strike

Demonstrators dance around a burning effigy of the Russian President Vladimir Putin during an anti-war action in Tbilisi, Georgia.

And we know that in war no one side has a monopoly on brutality. A far-right group with a history of neo-Nazi leanings has played a crucial role in Ukrainian resistance. Ukrainian soldiers have been accused of shooting Russian prisoners.

But if Ukraine somehow preserves its independence and its territory, something may happen that could lead to one of the biggest ironies of all.

A Ukrainian victory will be depicted as another Great Patriotic War. Ukrainians will commemorate their country's victory with parades and monuments.

And Putin will no longer be hailed as a shrewd and bold leader who restored Russia's greatness by manipulating chess pieces on a global stage.

He will be seen as a fool whose hubris and brutality drove him into making the same mistakes as the dictator he professed to despise.

Thousands of NSW health workers to strike

Thousands of health care workers in NSW are set to walk off the job on Thursday amid calls for a pay rise.

Workers across the ambulance, allied health, administration, catering, wards, cleaning and security areas will ask for a pay rise of more than 2.5 per cent.

Stop work meetings will take place across metro and regional hospitals, while paramedics will stop work from 7am to 8am to vote on further industrial action.

READ MORE: NSW Ambulance service overwhelmed four times in the past fortnight

NSW workers across the ambulance, allied health, admin, catering, wards, cleaning and security areas will ask for a pay rise of more than 2.5 per cent.

Thursday's planned strike comes on the back of a strike by NSW nurses on March 31, who took to the streets to demand better pay and working conditions.

The Health Services Union (HSU) claims despite trying to start legitimate bargaining for productivity-based pay rises, health and hospital workers have been left with no other option but to strike.

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows inflation running at 3.5 per cent, with economists predicting it will reach five per cent within months.

Under the NSW wages cap, public sector pay increased cannot legally go beyond 2.5 per cent.

HSU NSW Secretary Gerard Hayes says workers are fed up.

READ MORE: Uhlmann interviews Albanese

"Health and hospital workers are sick of mealy-mouthed rhetoric. We don't need another politician thanking us for being heroes of the pandemic, we need a pay rise," he said.

Lismore mum gives birth just days after her home was flooded

Amid the devastating flooding in the north-eastern NSW city of Lismore, a mum has given birth to her third child.

Jahnaya Mumford was 38 weeks pregnant when her family's house became completely engulfed by floodwaters and everyone was forced to get up on the roof.

"We knew that we were going to flood, but not to the extreme that we did," Ms Mumford told Today.

READ MORE: Flash flooding forecast for parts of eastern Victoria

Lismore Mother Jahnaya Mumford and her family described their experience of escaping from their house, which was engulfed by floodwaters.

"It [floodwaters] came through the house so quickly we didn't have time to really do anything."

Ms Mumford said getting to a safe spot was difficult because of her pregnancy.

"We got up in the manhole for a bit and everyone on the phone was like you need to get out, you could get stuck up there. So we got back down, which was quite hard because my belly didn't even fit through the manhole properly."

Making things even more difficult Ms Mumford's husband Cliff ended up in hospital with a staph infection.

But a few days later, the family were celebrating as Ms Mumford gave birth to her son Harlem.

"It was really good. It was actually a 30-minute labour so it was quite fast," Ms Mumford said.

"It was emotional because we'd had a still birth in October 2020 so he was already our rainbow baby."

The family has been unable to return to their homes due to the extensive flood damage.

But a kind stranger has been letting the family stay in their home.

"A lady on Facebook put something up about anyone need a place to stay, our house is there," Mr Mumford said.

READ MORE: Uhlmann interviews Albanese

Lismore Mother Jahnaya Mumford gave birth to her son Harlem just days after her home was hit with devastating floods.

Ms Mumford said the family has been trying to find a more permanent solution while they work through the damage done to their home.

But they haven't had much luck.

"We applied for the accommodation for like a motor home or a caravan. I applied five times and never heard anything back. So, it's been quite hard because we were hoping to try to get something to put at the front of our house so we can start getting the house sorted while I have three kids with me," Ms Mumford said.

She also described the pain the entire Lismore community has been feeling over the devastating floods.

"It's really hard to actually even put into words how any people are feeling," Ms Mumford said.

"Especially the shop owners, especially people who just started cleaning up their homes and their businesses. You know the town was wiped through again by another flood only a couple of weeks later. So, that just puts [up] that anxiety. You don't know where to go, how to start, start from scratch again, if it's going to happen again."